Ibiganiro ku musaruro n'ibiciro by'umusaruro wa 2026 biracyakomeje mu majyaruguru y'isi, mu gihe gusarura mu majyepfo y'isi biri hafi kurangira. Dukurikije ibipimo biheruka byatanzwe n'Inama Mpuzamahanga Ishinzwe Inyanya Zitunganya (WPTC), umusaruro w'inyanya zitunganya ku isi witezwe kuba uri munsi ya toni miliyoni 40, ubu ukaba ubarirwa kuri toni miliyoni 39.8. Ibi bigaragaza igabanuka rito ugereranije n'umusaruro wa nyuma wa toni miliyoni 40.3 mu 2025, kandi uri hasi cyane ugereranije n'umusaruro w'inyongera wabonetse mu 2023 (toni miliyoni 44.4) na 2024 (toni miliyoni 45.9).
Ibihugu bigize AMITOM
Bulugariya
Bitewe n’izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ingufu n’ifumbire mvaruganda (+40%) ndetse n’ivugurura riteganyijwe mu nyubako nini cyane, Balkan, ingano y’ibihingwa bizatunganywa mu 2026 biteganijwe kugabanukaho 50% kugeza kuri toni 20.000. Ikirere cy’ubu kirimo amazi make ariko ntabwo kizagira ingaruka ku gutera imbuto biteganijwe gutangira mu mpera za Mata.
Misiri
Igipimo cy’ibizamini ntikirahinduka kuri toni 800.000.
Ubufaransa
Ibitarasobanuka biracyakomeje mu gihe ibiganiro ku biciro n'umusaruro bikomeje. Biteganijwe ko umusaruro uzagabanuka ukagera kuri toni 150.000, bishobora kuzajyana no kugabanuka k'ubuso busanzwe, mu gihe ubuso bw'ibihingwa by'umwimerere buteganijwe kwiyongera. Ubuso bwose buzaba buri munsi ya hegitari 2.000.
Imvura idahwema kugwa mu gihe cy'itumba yasize imirima itose kandi ikirere kikaba kibi. Gutera ibiti, byari biteganyijwe gutangira muri iki cyumweru, bishobora gutinda kugeza mu cyumweru gitaha bitewe n'umuyaga n'ubukonje buriho ubu.
Ubugereki
Ikirere ni cyiza kandi imirima irategurwa. Gutera byatangiye muri iki cyumweru mu turere two mu majyepfo kandi bizatangira mu cyumweru gitaha mu turere two hagati. Impungenge nyamukuru ni ingaruka z'intambara ku biciro by'ingufu n'ifumbire mvaruganda, nubwo leta yashyigikiye. Igipimo cy'ibizagera kuri toni 450.000.
Ibiciro byatangajwe, bingana na €115 kuri miliyoni (bigezwa mu ruganda), hamwe n'ibindi bitandukanye.
Hongiriya
Ubu hateganyijwe ko hazagera kuri toni 70.000. Gutera imbuto mu biti bya pepini byatangiye mu cyumweru gishize.
Irani
Ibitarasobanuka neza biracyari byinshi, kandi itumanaho riragoye. Irani yahagaritse by'agateganyo kohereza hanze inyanya n'ibikomoka ku nyanya. Andi makuru azatangwa uko amakuru azagenda aboneka.
Ubutaliyani
Muri rusange amazi aboneka mu majyaruguru y'Ubutaliyani arahagije (igihe cy'itumba ry'imvura), kandi gutegura ubutaka biri mu buryo bwiza. Iteganyagihe riracyari ku rwego rwatangajwe muri Gashyantare (toni miliyoni 3).
Ibiganiro hagati y’abatunganya umusaruro n’amashyirahamwe y’abahinzi ku musaruro n’imiterere y’ubukungu byahuye n’ibibazo byinshi bitewe n’ibiciro by’ingufu zidahinduka, ibyo bikaba bigira ingaruka ku bikomoka kuri peteroli mu bikorwa by’ubuhinzi gusa, ndetse no ku biciro by’inyongeramusaruro birimo ifumbire mvaruganda ya azote. Ibiganiro byarangiye ku wa gatanu tariki ya 27 Werurwe, aho igiciro cy’impuzandengo cyo gutanga umusaruro mu murima cyanganaga na €137 kuri miliyoni, harimo n’amafaranga yo gutanga umusaruro utinze ndetse n’amafaranga yo gutanga serivisi.
Imiterere y’amazi mu Butaliyani bwo hagati no mu majyepfo iraruta iy’umwaka ushize, aho amazi ahagije mu turere twinshi. Nyamara, urugomero rwa Occhito, nubwo rwateye imbere, ntirurakemura burundu ikibazo cy’ibura ry’amazi.
Nkuko bisanzwe, amashyirahamwe y’abahinzi n’abatunganya umusaruro mu turere two hagati/mu majyepfo azategereza ko ibiciro byo mu majyaruguru birangizwa mbere yo gutangira ibiganiro byayo.
Ibibazo mpuzamahanga bifitanye isano n'umuyoboro wa Hormuz byateje impungenge zikomeye ku ikiguzi cya mazutu n'ifumbire mvaruganda, bitera ibibazo bikomeye mu biganiro.
Ibiteganyijwe byavuguruwe bigera kuri toni miliyoni 2.8 mu Butaliyani bwo hagati/mu majyepfo, bituma umusaruro wose uteganijwe ku rwego rw'igihugu ugera kuri toni miliyoni 5.8.
Porutugali
Porutugali yibasiwe n'inkubi z'umuyaga nyinshi, hamwe n'imyuzure yakwirakwiriye mu turere duhingwamo inyanya. Imbibi zimwe na zimwe z'imirima ku ruzi rwa Tagus zangiritse, bituma ubutaka buzura amazi. Ikirere cyiza cy'impeshyi kirimo gufasha ubwumutse bw'uturere twasigaye twumye. Gutera imbuto biteganijwe gutangira ku ya 6 Mata.
Bityo, ibiciro by’igihembwe bitangazwa mu itangazamakuru hagati ya €106–107/mt (itangwa ry’ibicuruzwa mu murima).
Seribiya
Imiterere y’ubuhinzi kugeza ubu ni myiza. Niba umusaruro ugeze ku rugero rw’igihembwe gishize rwa toni 90 kuri hegitari, biteganijwe ko ingano y’ubuso bw’ubuhinzi izaba toni 57.000.
Esipanye
Imvura nyinshi y'itumba yujuje ibigega muri Andalusia na Extremadura, bituma amazi aba meza mu myaka ine iri imbere. Ikirere kirimo kuba cyiza ubu; gutera imyumbati byatangiye mu cyumweru gishize muri Andalusia kandi bizatangira mu cyumweru gitaha muri Extremadura.
Ibiciro byemejweho hafi €107 kuri miliyoni (gutanga umusaruro mu murima) cyangwa €115 kuri miliyoni (gutanga umusaruro mu ruganda). Ariko, bamwe mu bahinzi ubu barimo gusaba ibiciro biri hejuru bitewe n’izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ingufu n’ifumbire. Igipimo cyateganijwe cyazamutse kikagera kuri toni miliyoni 2.75.
Tuniziya
Nta gipimo cyo gutunganya ingano y'ibihingwa muri iki gihembwe kiraboneka. Amakuru yonyine aboneka ni ubuso buteganyijwe guterwamo, bungana na hegitari zigera ku 15,300.
Turukiya
Hashingiwe ku makuru yakusanyijwe, ubuso bwatewe bushobora kugabanuka gato mu majyepfo mu gihe bukomeza kuba buhamye cyangwa bukiyongera gato mu karere ka Bursa. Ikirere cyari cyaraguye mu cyumweru gishize kandi hateganijwe imvura nyinshi mu cyumweru gitaha, bityo gutera bizatinda gato ugereranije n’ibisanzwe.
Ibicuruzwa (cyane cyane inyanya zibikwa mu macupa) biracyahari, kandi ibyoherezwa mu mahanga byagabanutse bitewe n’ivunjisha ritari ryiza. Umusaruro witezwe hagati ya toni miliyoni 2.4 na 2.5.
Nta makuru y’ibiciro bya leta ahari, ariko ibiciro by’amasezerano biri hafi ya TRY 525/mt (bigezwa mu ruganda), bingana na €100. Abahinzi barasaba ibiciro biri hejuru bitewe n’ibiciro byiyongereye; bitabaye ibyo, bashobora kugabanya ikoreshwa ry’ifumbire, ibyo bikaba byagira ingaruka ku musaruro.
Ukraine
Imirima irategurwa, gutera imbuto mu biti bya pepini byatangiye ku gihe cyagenwe, kandi gutera imbuto biteganijwe mu mpera za Mata. Ifumbire mvaruganda irahagije ariko ibiciro bifatwa nk'ibidakwiye, kandi ibiciro by'ingufu nabyo byarazamutse. Iteganyagihe rishobora kuvugururwa rigakurwaho muri Gicurasi hashingiwe ku miterere y'ubutaka. Imyanya y'imbere mu kibuga ntihinduka ugereranije n'umwaka ushize.
Ibindi bihugu byo mu majyaruguru y'Isi
Kaliforuniya
Gutera ibihingwa bya mbere y’igihembwe byatangiye muri Gashyantare mu gihe ikirere cyari cyiza. Werurwe yatumye ubushyuhe buruta ubusanzwe, bituma ibimera bikura mu mirima yari imaze guterwa. Ubushyuhe bukabije bwanatumye habaho guhagarara gato mu bikorwa bimwe na bimwe byo gutera, ariko nta bibazo bikomeye byitezwe muri iki gihe.
Imvura yaguye muri uyu mwaka iri munsi y’iyari yitezwe mbere y’itumba, ibi bizagabanya itangwa ry’amazi mu bice bimwe na bimwe bya leta. Kubera ko ubuso bw’ibihingwa bwamaze kwera muri iki gihembwe, kugabanuka kw’amazi ntibizagira ingaruka ku buso nyabwo bw’ibihingwa muri iki gihembwe.
Ibiganiro ku biciro biracyakomeje.
Kanada
Amasezerano y’ibanze yo mu 2026 ni toni 586.000 ngufi (hafi toni 532.000). Ibihe bisanzwe byo mu ntangiriro z’impeshyi byagiye bibaho mu byumweru bike bishize, harimo ibihe by’ubushyuhe n’ubukonje bisimburana, ikirere cyuzuye ibicu, imvura igwa rimwe na rimwe, urubura rugwa rimwe na rimwe, ndetse n’amajoro menshi hamwe n’ubushyuhe bukabije. Biteganijwe ko gutera bizatangira mu ntangiriro kugeza hagati muri Gicurasi.
Ubushinwa
Mu mpera za Werurwe, ubuso bwateweho inyanya bungana na hegitari 50.670. Umusaruro ubarirwa muri toni miliyoni 5.92. Igabanuka ry’impinduka riterwa ahanini n’ibitekerezo by’abahinzi ku bijyanye n’isoko n’ubushake bwo kugabanya ihingwa.
Ubuyapani
Gutera bizatangira mu byiciro guhera mu mpera za Werurwe, bitangirira mu karere ka Tokai. Igipimo ntarengwa: Hegitari 400 zatewe, ingano yo gutunganya iteganijwe kuba toni 24.000.
Ibihugu byo mu majyepfo y'isi
Arijantine
Ubukangurambaga bwo gutunganya inyanya mu 2026 muri Argentine bwasaruye hafi 75% by'ubuso bwatewe, bwinjiye mu cyumweru cya 13 cy'isarura. Ubuso bwatewe bubarirwa kuri hegitari 5.120. Mu gihe cy'umusaruro usanzwe (ukurikije impuzandengo y'imyaka myinshi), umusaruro wose witezwe kugera kuri toni zigera ku 425.000.
Ibitekerezo by'umusaruro biracyari byiza kandi bihamye, bishyigikiwe n'umusaruro mwiza muri gahunda ya Tomate 2000, yagabanyije ingaruka z'imvura y'amahindu iherutse kugwa. Umusaruro uriho ubu uri hejuru ya 10-15% mu gihembwe gishize, ugaragaza ko ukomeje gutera imbere mu mwaka wa 2025. Muri rusange, imiterere y'umusaruro ni myiza, kandi ubwiza bw'imbuto bwari bushimishije cyane kugeza ubu.
Imiterere y'ikirere muri iki gihembwe muri rusange yari ihamye: ubushyuhe, humutse, umuyaga mwinshi, kandi imvura yaguye ari nke. Ariko, imvura nyinshi yibasiye agace ka Villa Aberastain mu Ntara ya San Juan hagati muri Mutarama, igira ingaruka ku buso bunini budasanzwe bwa hegitari zigera kuri 400, aho byangiritse kuva ku bito kugeza ku bikomeye.
Gusarura byatangiye hagati mu Ukuboza kandi byakomeje gutera imbere buhoro buhoro. Nubwo byihutaga hafi y'icyumweru cya 5 n'icya 8, byasubiye ku muvuduko usanzwe. Gusarura biri mu nzira kandi biteganijwe ko bizarangira mu mpera za Mata, bitewe n'igihe uruganda rumaze kugena n'imiterere y'ubutaka isigaye.
Muri gahunda ya Tomate 2000, igizwe n'umusaruro munini w'igihugu, iterambere riri imbere gato: 76% by'ubuso bwahinduwe bwasaruwe (hegitari 2,160 kuri hegitari 2,842 zose hamwe). Umusaruro wose witezwe muri gahunda ni toni 293,228, muri zo toni 229,535 zasaruwe, hasigaye toni zigera ku 63,700.
Umusaruro mpuzandengo uva mu mirima yeze ubu ubarirwa kuri toni 106 kuri hegitari, ibi bikaba byemeza umusaruro mwiza muri iki gihembwe cy'ihinga.
Umusaruro wa gahunda ya Tomate 2000 ku rwego rw'igihugu ukomeje kwiyongera, ubu ukaba ugera kuri 68–69% by'umusaruro wose witezwe. Uku kwiyongera ahanini guterwa n'umusaruro mwiza mu turere dugenzurwa, aho umusaruro uba mwinshi kandi uhamye, uhora uri hejuru y'impuzandengo y'igihugu. Bityo, iyi gahunda igira uruhare runini mu gushyigikira urwego rw'umusaruro muri rusange wa Argentine.
Muri gahunda harimo itandukaniro rigaragara mu turere.
Mu karere ka San Juan, agace gakura vuba, iterambere ry'umusaruro ryateye imbere cyane: 86% by'ubuso bwasaruwe, hasigaye 14% gusa. Umusaruro wasaruwe ni mwinshi, ungana na toni zigera kuri 111 kuri hegitari, byemeza umusaruro mwiza.
Mu buryo bunyuranye, akarere ka Mendoza, agace gakomeje kwera neza gafite ikirere gikonje, kejeje ubuso bwa 54%, hasigaye 46%, bikaba ari byo bitanga umusaruro mwinshi. Nubwo iterambere ryagabanutse, umusaruro wasaruwe nawo ni munini kuri toni 91 kuri hegitari, ugaragaza umusaruro uhamye mu gihe cy'ubushyuhe budahagije.
Ositaraliya
Isarura ry’ibinyampeke ku rwego rw’igihugu riri hafi kurangira ariko ryagabanutse kubera imvura nyinshi. Kugeza ubu, umusaruro w’ibinyampeke ugera kuri toni 138.000, kandi biteganijwe ko umusaruro wose uzagera kuri toni zigera ku 157.000, ugereranije n’ibyari byateganyijwe mbere. Biteganijwe ko gutunganya bizarangira nyuma gato ya Pasika.
Burezili
Ubu hateganijwe ko toni 1,467,000 zizava kuri hegitari 15,150.
Dukurikije ubushakashatsi bwakozwe na Rabobank bwo mu 2025, ibibazo biri muri Irani bishobora kugira ingaruka ku isoko ry'ifumbire mvaruganda, cyane cyane ifumbire ya azote. Ubu bushakashatsi bugaragaza ko hafi 45% by'ibikomoka kuri urea byoherezwa mu mahanga ku isi, 25% bya ammonia, 20% bya DAP, 10% bya MAP, na hafi 30% bya sulfur byoherezwa binyuze mu nzira zijyanye n'ikigobe cya Perse. Ibiciro bya mazutu mu buhinzi byazamutseho 60% mu cyumweru kimwe.
Shili
Imvura nyinshi yagize ingaruka ku turere dutandukanye twera inyanya ahagana hagati muri Werurwe, aho tumwe mu duce twagaragaje ubushyuhe burenga mm 100 mu masaha 24 ku ya 16 Werurwe. Inganda zose zakoze mu cyumweru gishize ariko ku musaruro muto. Isuzuma ryuzuye ry’ibyangiritse by’imvura ntirirashoboka, bityo iteganyagihe riracyari kuri toni miliyoni 1.3.
Nouvelle-Zélande
Ubwinshi bw'inyanya zitunganywa bwaragabanutse muri uyu mwaka bitewe n'ingano y'ibicuruzwa bya paste y'inyanya byari bifitwe n'uruganda rusigaye rutunganya inyanya, Heinz Watties. Ishyirahamwe ryibanda ku bicuruzwa byo mu macupa, bityo uruganda ruzatunganya toni 15.000 gusa, ruvuye kuri toni 37.000 mu 2025.
Afurika y'Epfo
Ubuso bw'ibihingwa mu mpeshyi burimo ikirere cyumye kandi gishyushye. Mirongo irindwi na gatanu ku ijana by'ibihingwa byo mu mpeshyi byakiriwe, aho impuzandengo ya Brix ya 5.8. Igihembwe cyo gutunganya ibihingwa mu mpeshyi cyitezwe kurangira mu mpera za Mata. Ibicuruzwa byo mu mpeshyi bigezwa ku gihe ubu ni 25% by'ingano yose y'ibihingwa byo gutunganya ibihingwa byo muri Afurika y'Epfo.
Mu turere tw’umusaruro w’igihe cy’itumba mu ntara ya Limpopo yo mu majyaruguru, hagaragaye imyuzure. Gutera imbuto bigomba kurangira mu mpera za Mata. Gutanga imbuto mu gihe cy’itumba biteganijwe kuva muri Mata kugeza mu mpera za Nzeri.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Mata-03-2026